IN JUNE 2024, HANK SEES A BIDEN WIN…BUT SLIM
Based on my electoral college projections for June of 2024, I have President Joe Biden winning by the narrowest margin possible. He truly has no margin for error. Donald Trump as you can see needs only flip one state in my scenario to move back into the White House. I have Trump placing Arizona and Nevada back into the win column for Republicans. He lost both states in 2020 but I feel the immigration issue resonates strongly in those states. I also have Trump putting Georgia back into the win column. Trump is showing strength with black voters.
I also have the “Blue Wall” holding for Biden. Biden is showing strength among seniors which will help in the rust belt and the abortion issue is at play in the Blue Wall states as well. He will be doing massive spending in Michigan and Pennsylvania and I expect Democrat and Independent “leaners” to come home in November. Polling shows Trump’s conviction has hurt him among Independents in these swing states but the polls remain within the statistical margin of error.
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